argylesock says… We need to know what’s likely to happen in our weather. People who make a living on the land or sea need to know what plans to make.
This was an extreme period of weather that saw a marked change from dry conditions to very wet conditions in a very short period of time.
Following the exceptionally wet weather of late spring 2012 the Met Office provided a full report into the possible reasons for the switch from dry to wet conditions. Our report states that the advice provided in the long-range outlook for April to June 2012 issued in March 2012 ‘was not helpful’ to our government customers.
However, looking at the skill of these outlooks over many individual forecasts clearly shows that they provide useful advice to their specialist users on over 65% of occasions. In addition these outlooks are never used…
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